I'm sorry to hear about that Mike, that's tragic. I had an overcoat stolen years back and it's just so depressing.
With regards to all the lost item posts, it hits on something interesting. The vast majority of people are honest, and there's a good chance that something you lose will be returned. Something that gets stolen is gone. I find this, and related things like "Asking someone to watch your laptop is almost always a safe bet. If someone offers to watch your laptop, your odds are much lower" to be quite fun because they don't hit on human nature so much as the way chance works, and they're counterintuitive to many. Basically, if you don't self-select for dishonest people, you're almost always going to have an interaction with an honest person. Clearly, everyone recalls the opposite case with some frequency, which has a lot to do with how humans evaluate risk.
With regards to all the lost item posts, it hits on something interesting. The vast majority of people are honest, and there's a good chance that something you lose will be returned. Something that gets stolen is gone. I find this, and related things like "Asking someone to watch your laptop is almost always a safe bet. If someone offers to watch your laptop, your odds are much lower" to be quite fun because they don't hit on human nature so much as the way chance works, and they're counterintuitive to many. Basically, if you don't self-select for dishonest people, you're almost always going to have an interaction with an honest person. Clearly, everyone recalls the opposite case with some frequency, which has a lot to do with how humans evaluate risk.
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